Trump and the GOP
March 3, 2016
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A short reminder that the GOP would obviously prefer to lose the election rather than have Trump win. It’s an obvious principal-agent problem.
By “GOP” I mean the GOP Establishment, Conservatism Inc., the pundit and election consultant industry, etc. All those people have cushy jobs, good incomes, fancy lifestyles and some degree of mainstream respect (or at least, toleration) from the Left.
Trump winning the election will give them absolutely no personal benefit. The politicians would have to deal with a brash and aggressive outsider, which is annoying. But think of the pundits and consultants. They are livid, and for good reason. Trump is obliterating their business model. He’s winning the primary without spending a dime on them, and saying exactly the opposite of what they get paid for saying. Jeb Bush spent 150 million dollars on them, and he went to hell. Now think about that for a minute. 150 million dollars. That’s a lot of money. That money went somewhere. It paid for lots of houses, cars, clothes, school tuition, restaurant fees, etc. Thousands upon thousands of people live off that sort of money.
Trump may be nominally part of the same thing, i.e. the “Republican Party”, but what’s in a name? Trump is a direct threat to all these people, and a not trivial threat to politicians who have made a career of being the tolerated opposition of the Progressive Soviet. If Hillary wins the election, these people will suffer nothing. Well, some of their donors may find it harder to get things done, and their donations may decrease a little. But probably not by much. Trump, on the other hand, is aiming for their throat. If Trump wins these people will suffer very real damage. Their family’s lifestyle will be in jeopardy. So of course they’ll sabotage anything Trump does.
Either Trump runs divide and conquer and plays one against the other, or he brute-forces his way to power by bringing enough new votes to compensate the loss of the upper-middle class vote. Average turnout in American elections is low enough for the latter to be possible, but it won’t be easy.